ABI Research: Telco cloud revenue set to rise 27% over 5 years
Global telco cloud revenue will grow to US$29.3 billion by 2025, up from US$8.7 billion in 2020, at a 5-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 27%, according to a new report from ABI Research.
The telco cloud growth will be driven primarily by cloud infrastructure-related investments, such as virtual network functions (VNFs), management and network orchestration (MANO), and cloud-native functions (CNFs).
By 2025, the telco cloud market will be worth US$10 billion in North America, US$9 billion in Asia-Pacific (APAC), and US$8.2 billion in Europe, forecasts global tech market advisory firm, ABI Research in the report, The 36 Transformative Technology Stats You Need to Know for 2021.
This introduction of cloudified environments in the telco business landscape also presents some shifts in the value chain. For example, telcos are now being presented with a second option of telco cloud deployment, the multi-vendor approach, in which different network equipment vendors are responsible for different components of the telco.
“While this approach seems to provide some benefits, such as avoiding single-vendor lock-in, it also requires substantial coordination of effort, not only through robust MANO but also between stakeholders during certain key phases of the telco cloud deployment, such as the design and planning phase,” explains ABI Research 5G core and edge networks research analyst Kangrui Ling.
Another 5G core and edge networks trend highlighted in the report, 5G network slicing, stands to create approximately US$8.9 billion by 2026 at a CAGR of 76%.
“Arguably that is a drop in the bucket for communication service provider (CSP) service revenue. CSPs continue to possess strong network assets, namely low-latency, last-mile access and core network capabilities,” ABI Research senior analyst Don Alusha points out.
However, for the broader industry, capturing significant new growth opportunity will vary in line with their corresponding digitisation initiatives and readiness to adopt new technologies like 5G core networks and cloud-native principles.
Conversely, hyperscalers like Microsoft and Amazon are cognizant of these dynamics and are positioning themselves accordingly with telco-specific solutions like Amazon Web Services (AWS) Wavelength and Microsoft Azure Edge Zones, particularly on edge computing deployments.
“Though moderate in the next 5 years, new value creation abounds but the jury is still out on who captures what parts of the bigger emerging 5G edge and network slicing ecosystem,” Alusha says.
ABI Research chief research officer Stuart Carlaw says, “We have selected, from among the many millions of data points ABI Research creates each year, to focus on some enlightening data points that matter in the year ahead. Aspects like Tiny Machine learning (TinyML), private cellular networks, Open Radio Access Network (RAN), blockchain, smart manufacturing platforms, and even connected cows point to how technology advancements are allowing our physical world to be better connected, managed, and efficient. The forecasts presented in this paper may be easy to dismiss but are very important directional indicators of the technology-enabled world of the future.